Phil Galfond Advanced Heads Up Strategy (2)

Discussion for Phil Galfond Advanced Heads Up Strategy (2).

awesome video!!!

5. i had 75d when i 5bet. fwiw id get in all AK and QQ for sure w/o a 2nd thought and JJ and AQs like 70% of the time and TT and AQ some portion of the time. 6. when he wrote the note im a 2nd level thinker after i 4bet/folded i had another suited king K6s-K8s cant remember

Fantastic video Phil. Love the HU series, and particularly interesting at these (relatively) lower stakes which are more relevant to my game.

sick video! great stuff

additionally, since 5/10 is such micro for you nowadays I kinda felt that you kinda leaned towards calling for the soulpwning aswell.

Snamuh, I didnt think he was 4betting enough to justify me changing my strat too much. He was still folding enough that 3betting junk was profitable. Since he was starting to 4bet more and not calling often, I need to polarize my 3betting range a bit. 3betting hands like QTs becomes a big mistake against people who rarely call and who 4bet with a decent frequency. Your thought process is good, and would be correct if he were 4betting recklessly and calling often. However, he continued to...

killer, I definitely agree that the stakes and my constant desire to own people with calldowns caused me to make a bad decision.

I am exhausted and may be just brainfarting here, but the A3 shove math... your effective stack size was much smaller than your "almost 2100." He had like 1500 left and there was 790 in the pot. Not trying to nitpick, but wanting to be corrected if I am way off here. Seems like an even better shove than you mentioned; but I like your stop and go even more (I call in spots like this, when I think the villian will put me on high cards and call with a pair, but will checkfold scary flops).

I agree with what you said Phil, I think he rarely has a king or 10 7 with this line but they seem like fringe hands to help a case for shove. If we shove 600 and get called by a strong hand we should have like 30% so we lose 250 of that compared to calling. But his bluffs outplay us about 65% of the time on the river (I guess I'm asking how to quantify this mathematically it seems like we need to take the perceived percentage of his range that are bluffs versus what we lose when he bluffs....

ok...so if he's bluffing (and either actually ahead of us or behind but still folding to turn shove) we open him up to: .65*760=494 (he wins)- .35*620 (he loses shove)= 277 at say 20% (sound reasonable?) of his overall range giving him 55 in equity. he would need to check/fold rivers that we hit less than 1/3 of the time (1/3 of the 620 we would've gotten from shoving=206) for calling to work out better than shoving. It seems like he could check/fold value easily more than that.

fwiw once that turn comes im pretty much jamming the river with nearly 100% frequency when i have air so i think raising me off this air is generally a mistake. however phil's bluff catcher is so weak here that some of my bluffs beat his A high so i think shoving turn has merit to get me to fold those but ud have to work out how often i have air that beats A high versus hands that call his turn shove and overall id say my range would be weighted to the latter such that he shouldnt shove turn and

ok so my assumption about you barreling air at a high frequency seems mostly correct (or hands that aren't air but couldn't call a turn shove and do beat a high like 10 7 or k5s once in a blue moon). i did work it out and when you have those hands you gain 277 (or thereabout) in equity on the hand when we let you in by calling. The issue becomes, can you find a check fold with a hand like kj, k8s, j8s, or even a set of 8's when a variety of clubs (or a 10 less likely) come off after we call?

Hey, would you mind releasing a video playing PLO any stakes vs some LAGGGGGtards and maybe even HU? Thanks. I feel like it's a lot harder for me to build a range for a crazy lagtard player vs holdem. I just get in a lot of sick spots and i feel like playing tight is probably just making me lose ev.

were you winning? Some of those calls made surprised me. To think a guy is bluffing every time he shoves i don't see how that is profitable. i definitely have to change the way i am playing. A lot of those re raises and aired flops i wouldn't bother betting and i saw how you took some pots down. Then other times i saw a raise and yo woudl fold with ace 4. Other time you went up against a 5 bet with ace 3 i don't get it.