Neil at 50NL Live

Discussion for Neil at 50NL Live.

Villain was was calling almost 100% of cbets. A +ev play is simply determined by fold equity + pot equity, and I had very little of both in this hand. Also this isnt a board where I want to be double barreling as my opponent will again call frequently on the turn, and a triple barrel vs this type of opponent again wont have a high enough success frequency to be having that plan, so I instead opted to give up.

That is what made it a bit of a tough spot. Like I said in the video I don't think I am inducing a 3rd bluff, and my hand is too strong to c/f because he may be shoving a few weaker hands for value. The question then is will some marginal hands call this river shove, which werent going to shove for value themselves. I thought the answer was yes, though I was surprised by the particular marginal hand my opponent showed up with, but he could still more reasonably have some flopped overcard + straight draw hands which now have a decent 2 pair, but might be happy to check back a 4 straight paired board river.