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Dustin reviews the HH of two high-stakes SNGs, one with a nail-biting bubble and one bubble he owns!
@39:00~, KQo UTG. I'm really surprised you thought this was close. You're 100% right about your range tightening up when you have to beat somebody to win the pot - but you need to remember that the top end of your range actually gets a nice boost in equity because of the BB being so short and calling so wide.
With Nash ranges KQo goes from 0.18 to 0.20 in this situation when you switch out UTGs stack with CO's stack (like you did in the video).
Agree completely about the K6cc shove pre.
Another good video. My only complaint is I like to pause the video before your actions (so I can think about what I would do and why, and then listen to what you have to say after) and you flick through hands so fast that it makes it hard - but I'm probably in the minority with this.
I really wish I had spent more time on this hand, but in the video I was trying to get across a bigger point. I understand what you're saying regarding getting an equity boost with the top of your range against a very loose calling range, but I don't think it applies in this situation. KQ is definitely not in the slamdunk portion of my UTG range and is very different from TT-AA.
For argument's sake, we'll use Nash ranges for other players (fyi in reality these ranges are looser)
We can map this out with SNGwiz using BB's calling range as the variable and you see:
near 0% KQ has +1.21%
at 25% KQ has +.54%
at 50% KQ has +.52%
at 100% KQ has +.22%
Basically it 'hovers' around .54% for a large period while worse Kx and Qx hands are added to his calling range and then drops off from there, but there's not really an equity boost, like you see if you use premiums like TT+. In those cases your hand is strong enough that equity actually increases as his range widens like you say, whereas with KQ you're generally much more happy to take the 300 uncontested.
I'm not sure where the .18 and .2 numbers were came from, that's not what I got.
What range would I put these players on?
That gives us a +.14% edge, definitely a shove, but not a fistpump.
Also, regarding video format, I completely understand where you're coming from but the overall consensus seems to be that people want to see as many hands as possible.
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