Niman Reviews Live Hands From The Borgota (2) » Bluefire Poker Videos / Articles

Discussion for Niman Reviews Live Hands From The Borgota (2).

I can't see any way your $75 bluff into 1400 on the river is a good play, because I can't see anyway I would fold any pair in vilain's shoes in his spot. I mean, come on ! He HAS to see that his apparently ridiculously tight strategy is going to induce a float from you on that flop with any gutshot, at least SOME of the times... Getting 20 to 1, the simple fact that you might have a gutshot on the flop is really more than enough to justify a call. I did listen to the previous hands and I get that there's some metagame involded, but that doesn't explain his ridiculous river mistake. (Also, in the previous hand, if I fot it right, he raised 4x behind 3 or 4 limpers ? That, in itself, shows that he has to be pretty weak.) If you knew for a fact that he would make those kind of laydowns, it would be obv different, but you seem to describe him as "good tight", which seems definitly not true ! Seems obvious (to me) that against a "good tight" player, your bluff wouldn't work 1 in 20 times... (However, of course, I'd understand and like something like a $300-400 bluff on the river...)

Great video. Found the $75 bluff very comical the way the showdown played out and the perfect size given the earlier hand and the player personality described. Curious as to how long it took you to raise to 12K on the final hand? Were you altering the amount of time you took before taking action throughout the session or did you mainly stick to the same routine?

I'm very surprised you said you can play QQ like that getting to the river. If you are betting the turn there for value, that is pretty thin IMO. After you call the c/r on the turn, I don't think he can ever put you on QQ so that is out of your range in his mind when you raised the river. So you are only repping 22(1) KK(1) and 88 (3). Also let's say if you really had 88, I don't think there is any value in raising the river because given the range you assign him, if you think he's folding AA (3), then you are just value towning yourself to KK (1) However I can see him put 88 in your range to raise the river. Even if he's thinking at a high enough level where he knows you will never raise 88 on the river for value because he knows you know worse will never call, you can still credibly rep KK or 22. It's also a spot where you are never bluffing so it makes it a very strong play. The leverage of deep stack poker baby! My analysis could be off so please correct me if I'm wrong.