5/10 River gets overbet allin » High Stakes No Limit Discussion

Villain plays 18/14/3.8  (2.6k hands).

Can make moves. Cbets turns 46% and rivers 67%.

Normally I 3bet this pf, I can't specifically remember why I didn't this hand. When I do flat I usually check raise the flop for value, which also makes the hand easier to play. Again I can't specifically remember why I didn't. I guess I played the hand poorly, which leads to an interesting river decision.

I have no idea why he would overbet the river allin other than to get me to fold or level me with the complete nuts. It would seem that the absolute top of my river range would be AJ and that I would haev a hard time calling even that.

http://www.pokerhand.vg/9557

 River seems like a fold. 

These numbers are incomplete and sloppily done is 2 minutes, but it gives you a rough idea that its likely very close with AJ and could go either way.  Without past history I would lean towards a fold though since I think these numbers are a little bit skewed towards the strength of hero (some spade draws are missing, but he won't always be shoving A8 type hands).

Board: As 9h 8s 5c Jc
Dead: 

    equity     win     tie           pots won     pots tied   
Hand 0:     42.222%      42.22%     00.00%                 19             0.00   { AdJh }
Hand 1:     57.778%      57.78%     00.00%                 26             0.00   { 99-88, A9s-A8s, KsTs, Ks9s, Ks8s, QsJs, QTs, Qs9s, JTs, 76s, 6s5s, A9o-A8o, QTo }